XAU/USD: gold is in demand again
20 January 2021, 10:08

| Scenario | |
|---|---|
| Timeframe | Intraday |
| Recommendation | BUY STOP |
| Entry Point | 1863.40 |
| Take Profit | 1900.00 |
| Stop Loss | 1840.00 |
| Key Levels | 1800.00, 1811.96, 1830.00, 1850.00, 1863.34, 1875.09, 1900.00 |
| Alternative scenario | |
|---|---|
| Recommendation | SELL STOP |
| Entry Point | 1849.95 |
| Take Profit | 1811.96 |
| Stop Loss | 1870.00 |
| Key Levels | 1800.00, 1811.96, 1830.00, 1850.00, 1863.34, 1875.09, 1900.00 |
Current trend
Gold prices are rising significantly during today's Asian session, updating local highs of January 15. The instrument is testing the level of 1850.00 for a breakout. Noticeable pressure on USD was exerted by the speech of the candidate for the post of the US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who spoke in favor of a gradual return of the "strong dollar policy". In any case, it seems that the Joe Biden administration will not engage in artificial weakening of the national currency, as well as prosecute other countries for such actions. In addition, investors are looking forward to Biden's inauguration today, and also expect quick decisions on the announced USD 2 trillion support package for the US economy.
Support and resistance
Bollinger Bands in D1 chart demonstrate a stable decrease. The price range expands from below, weakly reacting to the appearance of ambiguous trading dynamics in the nearest future. MACD is reversing to growth forming a new buy signal (located above the signal line). Stochastic keeps its upward direction but is rapidly approaching its highs, which reflects the risks of overbought instrument in the ultra-short term. Technical indicators do not contradict the further development of the uptrend in the short and/or ultra-short term.
Resistance levels: 1850.00, 1863.34, 1875.09, 1900.00.
Support levels: 1830.00, 1811.96, 1800.00.


Trading tips
To open long positions, one can rely on the breakout of 1863.34. Take-profit – 1900.00. Stop-loss – 1840.00. Implementation time: 2-3 days.
A rebound from 1863.34 as from resistance followed by a breakdown of 1850.00 may become a signal for new sales with the target at 1811.96. Stop-loss – 1870.00.


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