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Mar 28, 2018

Adobe Systems Inc. (ADBE/NASD): general analysis 28 March 2018, 12:12

 


Scenario
Timeframe Intraday
Recommendation SELL STOP
Entry Point 212.90
Take Profit 205.00, 200.00, 193.00
Stop Loss 220.00
Key Levels 192.00, 203.00, 213.00, 222.00, 231.00
Alternative scenario
Recommendation BUY STOP
Entry Point 222.10
Take Profit 235.00, 240.00
Stop Loss 215.00
Key Levels 192.00, 203.00, 213.00, 222.00, 231.00
Current trend
In the middle of March, Adobe published Q1, 2018, report with the financial results above the market’s expectations. The income of the company grew by 24% YoY to the record 2.08 billion USD due to the increase in the number of Creative Cloud subscribers and profit per user. The corrected EPS reached 1.55 USD. The company’ forecast remained unchanged, however, in the current quarter, the profit and EPS is expected to reache 2.15 billion USD and 1.53 USD, which is above the market’s expectations.
During the last week, Adobe decreased by 6.94% against the fall of S&P 500 index by 3.66%.
Support and resistance
Yesterday, the instrument kept the resistance level of 231.00, which caused the aggressive sales. The decrease of #ADBE exceeded 6.5%. The stocks are now testing the key support level of 213.00. The level of 222.00 is the nearest resistance. The further correction is not excluded. MACD histogram is in the negative zone and decreasing, reflecting the strength of sellers. It is better to open the positions according to the current trend.
The comparative analysis of the indicators of the company and its competitors suggests the neutrality of its share prices.
Resistance levels: 222.00, 231.00.
Support levels: 213.00, 203.00, 192.00.

Trading tips
Short positions can be opened after the price is set below the level of 213.00. The closing of the profitable positions is possible at the levels of 205.00, 200.00 and 193.00. Stop loss is 220.00.
Long positions can be opened after the price is set above the level of 222.00 with the targets at 235.00–240.00. Stop loss is 215.00.
Implementation period: 3 days.

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